Why The Springboks Must Be The Favourites Against Australia On Sunday

 

The Springboks must be the overwhelming favourites when they run out against Australia on Sunday @12h05 in their 3rd test of the 2021 Rugby Championship. They had "easy" wins against Argentina in South Africa in their first two tests in the Rugby Championship and is currently one point behind the log leaders, the All Blacks on the Championship log.

The statisticians also agree with the South African supporters. South Africa has won 48, drew 3 and lost 37 tests against Australia up to date. The Springboks won 2, drew 2 and lost 1 test against Australia in the last 5 meetings.

South Africa have won their last two men’s Tests on the bounce against Australia, as many as they had won in their eight encounters prior (D2, L4); the last time the Springboks won more successive games against the Wallabies was a three-game winning stretch from September 2012 to September 2013.

South Africa have won 15 of their 18 Tests since the beginning of 2019 and have won their last four Tests on the bounce; indeed, their 83% win rate since the beginning of 2019 is the best of any Tier 1 team in that time.

Australia has lost their last three men’s Tests on the bounce heading into this fixture; the last time they lost more in succession was a four-game stretch from June to August in 2018.

South Africa has missed the fewest tackles per game (16) and has the highest tackle success rate (89%) of any team at the 2021 edition of The Rugby Championship; Australia’s tackle success rate of 82% is the lowest of any team.